[HiDARG-MEMBERS] Solar Cycle

[sgriggs at orbitechinc.com]

Because I work with professional grade GNSS gear at work for surveying and mapping, I watch the NOAA Space weather forecast daily with twice daily e-mail blasts. Solar flares are good for HF, bad for GNSS satellite signals, so while I watch for a different reason, the work and hobby aspects do overlap. It has been awhile since I have seen a G3 forecast with the Kp index at 7. That is a no go for precision GNSS surveying, but likely very good for HF propagation.

 

You can sign up for the e-mails here: https://pss.swpc.noaa.gov/LoginWebForm.aspx?ReturnUrl=%2fproductsubscriptionservice%2fMainMenuWebForm.aspx

 

NOAA Space Weather Predication Page is here: https://www.swpc.noaa.gov/

 

As with my ground weather forecast, I go straight to the source at NOAA.

 

Snip from Thursday AM e-mail:

 

NOAA Kp index breakdown Dec 09-Dec 11 2020

 

            Dec 09     Dec 10     Dec 11

00-03UT        2          5 (G1)     5 (G1)

03-06UT        3          7 (G3)     6 (G2)

06-09UT        2          5 (G1)     4     

09-12UT        1          4          4     

12-15UT        3          4          3     

15-18UT        3          4          3     

18-21UT        4          4          3     

21-00UT        5 (G1)     4          3     

 

Rationale: G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storming is likely to commence late on

09 Dec and continue to be a potential through 11 Dec. Peak storming of

G3 (Strong) is likely to occur early on 10 Dec, and begin to settle from

there with G2 (Moderate) storming likely to occur early on 11 Dec as

North America enters the night time sector.

 

Shelby H. Griggs, N7SHG

Cell: (541) 350-8002

E-mail: N7SHG at arrl.net <mailto:N7SHG at arrl.net> 

 

From: HiDARG-Members <hidarg-members-bounces at hidarg.org> On Behalf Of Randy Tomer
Sent: Tuesday, December 8, 2020 22:52
To: HiDARG Members <hidarg-members at hidarg.org>
Subject: Re: [HiDARG-MEMBERS] Solar Cycle

 

You can watch Scott McIntosh's video presentation on his theory on this youtube channel:

 

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRNJPkQPo_g <https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=lRNJPkQPo_g&feature=youtu.be> &feature=youtu.be

 

72, Randy

 

On Tue, Dec 8, 2020 at 10:45 PM Randy Tomer <w6ra.randy at gmail.com <mailto:w6ra.randy at gmail.com> > wrote:

Let's hope that they are correct!

 

73

 

On Tue, Dec 8, 2020 at 5:29 PM Dave Green <dgreen357 at gmail.com <mailto:dgreen357 at gmail.com> > wrote:

https://www.sciencealert.com/the-new-sunspot-cycle-could-be-one-of-the-strongest-we-ve-ever-recorded?fbclid=IwAR1ZL3MMY4XoLKMx_PhGLX5KVJ0YnOMb7bogiPlI5O-tyWDgdt05lC1KWaw


 

-- 

  <http://i101.photobucket.com/albums/m67/whisper4969/Dave/vetsig.jpg> 

Dave "Doc" Green

KT7DOC

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